in: Good Practice Workshop "Exploring case-studies on the evaluation of RDP achievements and impacts"
Veranstalter: The European Evaluation Helpdesk for Rural Development
Hermine Mitter, Anja Kristina Techen, Franz Sinabell, Katharina Helming, Kasper Kok, Jörg A. Priess, Erwin Schmid, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Ian Holman, Heikki Lehtonen, Adrian Leip, Chantal Le Mouël, Erik Mathijs, Bano Mehdi, Melania Michetti, Klaus Mittenzwei, Olivier Mora, Lillian Øygarden, Pytrik Reidsma, Rüdiger Schaldach, Martin Schönhart
Moving towards a more sustainable future requires concerted actions, particularly in the context of global climate change.
Integrated assessments of agricultural systems (IAAS) are considered valuable tools to provide sound information for policy
and decision-making. IAAS use storylines to define socio-economic and environmental framework assumptions. While a set of
qualitative global storylines, known as the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), is available to inform integrated assessments
at large scales, their spatial resolution and scope is insufficient for regional studies in agriculture. We present a protocol
to operationalise the development of Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture – Eur-Agri-SSPs – to support
IAAS. The proposed design of the storyline development process is based on six quality criteria: plausibility, vertical and
horizontal consistency, salience, legitimacy, richness and creativity. Trade-offs between these criteria may occur. The process
is science-driven and iterative to enhance plausibility and horizontal consistency. A nested approach is suggested to link
storylines across scales while maintaining vertical consistency. Plausibility, legitimacy, salience, richness and creativity
shall be stimulated in a participatory and interdisciplinary storyline development process. The quality criteria and process
design requirements are combined in the protocol to increase conceptual and methodological transparency. The protocol specifies
nine working steps. For each step, suitable methods are proposed and the intended level and format of stakeholder engagement
are discussed. A key methodological challenge is to link global SSPs with regional perspectives provided by the stakeholders,
while maintaining vertical consistency and stakeholder buy-in. We conclude that the protocol facilitates systematic development
and evaluation of storylines, which can be transferred to other regions, sectors and scales and supports inter-comparisons
This paper examines how product relatedness and the breadth of technological search affect the path-dependent development
of export specialisations across countries documented in prior research. The results of the econometric analysis in this paper
show that broader technological search in an industry has a positive impact on the development of comparative advantages in
the product lines it exports. The interplay between product relatedness and the scope of technological search has a two-edged
character. On the one hand, broader technological search supports adjustments and consolidations of the export baskets on
the extensive margin. This contributes to weaken path-dependency. On the other hand, it fosters the competitiveness of products
that are related to current export specialisations, and thereby promotes path-dependency on the intensive margin of trade.
These results differ across countries with different levels of technological capabilities.