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Kommende Veranstaltungen (3 Treffer)

WIFO Research Seminar, 15.9.2020 13:30
Commentary: Oliver Fritz (WIFO)
Veranstalter: Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
Online seit: 17.06.2020 0:00
Using data for the period 2010M06-2017M02, this study investigates the possibility of predicting total tourist arrivals to four Austrian cities (Graz, Innsbruck, Salzburg, and Vienna) from LIKES of posts on the Facebook pages of the destination management organizations of these cities. Google Trends data are also incorporated in investigating whether forecast models with LIKES and/or with Google Trends deliver more accurate forecasts. To capture the dynamics in the data, the autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) model class is employed. Taking into account the daily frequency of the original LIKES data, the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model class is employed as well. While time-series benchmarks from the naive, error-trend-seasonal, and autoregressive moving average model classes perform best for Graz and Innsbruck across forecast horizons and forecast accuracy measures, ADL models incorporating only LIKES or both LIKES and Google Trends generally outperform their competitors for Salzburg. For Vienna, the MIDAS model including both LIKES and Google Trends produces the smallest forecast accuracy measure values for most forecast horizons.
Präsentation der WIFO-Konjunkturprognose vom Oktober 2020 (Presentation of the WIFO Economic Outlook October 2020)
Pressekonferenzen, WIFO, 1030 Wien, Arsenal, Objekt 20, 9.10.2020 10:30
Veranstalter: Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
Online seit: 11.02.2020 0:00
Präsentation der WIFO-Konjunkturprognose vom Dezember 2020 (Presentation of the WIFO Economic Outlook December 2020)
Pressekonferenzen, Institut für Höhere Studien, 1080 Wien, Josefstädterstraße 39, 8.12.2020 10:30
Veranstalter: Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
Online seit: 11.02.2020 0:00